Daejeon Citizenvs
Jeonbuk Motors
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 10/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Daejeon Citizen · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Daejeon Citizen 0-0 Jeonbuk Motors, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Daejeon Citizen 2-1 Jeonbuk Motors
Original prediction
Daejeon Citizen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 41.7% | 37.3% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.7% | 29.4% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 31.6% | 33.3% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.4 pts
Projected Score
Daejeon Citizen 0–0 Jeonbuk Motors
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Daejeon Citizen
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Daejeon Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20