GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K League 1 · 9/9/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Daejeon Citizen · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Daejeon Citizen 3-2 FC Anyang

Original prediction

Daejeon Citizen

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5659.2%58.0%-1.2 pts
Draw4.0223.1%23.0%-0.1 pts
Away5.2317.7%19.0%1.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-1.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–012%
  3. 3.2–011%

Predicted outcome

Daejeon Citizen

Probability

58.0%

Model confidence

58.0%

Daejeon Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Daejeon CitizenWLWWW

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
FC AnyangLDWLW

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Daejeon CitizenFC Anyang
49.4Attack40.7
60.5Defence48.1
43.2Form42.0
50.9Power45.5
1.66xG0.87
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