Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Daegu FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Daegu FC are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Hwaseong are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Daegu FC hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (58.4 v 43.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.8% in the K League 2, while Daegu FC holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Daegu FC
Probability
58.8%
Model confidence
58.8%
Daegu FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00