Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Daegu FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Daegu FC 3-1 Cheongju
Original prediction
Daegu FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.53 | 59.7% | 63.4% | 3.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.10 | 22.2% | 19.6% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 5.03 | 18.1% | 16.9% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Daegu FC
Probability
63.4%
Model confidence
63.4%
Daegu FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Daegu FCLWDWD
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CheongjuWWWLL
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Daegu FCCheongju
61.5Attack42.0
55.1Defence48.1
59.0Form39.5
59.3Power45.7
2.14xG0.99