GGOALVIO

Moldova · Cupa · 10/27/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dacia-Buiucani · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-2 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Dacia-Buiucani 6-0 Univer Comrat

Original prediction

Dacia-Buiucani

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 02:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.2373.6%43.2%-30.5 pts
Draw6.0715.0%23.0%8.0 pts
Away7.9911.4%33.8%22.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-30.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–27%
  2. 2.2–27%
  3. 3.1–17%

Predicted outcome

Dacia-Buiucani

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

43.2%

Dacia-Buiucani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dacia-BuiucaniWDLWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Univer ComratLWLDD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Dacia-BuiucaniUniver Comrat
50.0Attack100.0
50.0Defence100.0
50.0Form100.0
50.0Power97.0
1.99xG2.46
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