Dacia-Buiucanivs
Sheriff Tiraspol
COMPLETEDMoldova · Super Liga · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sheriff Tiraspol · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-1 (12%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dacia-Buiucani 2-5 Sheriff Tiraspol
Original prediction
Sheriff Tiraspol
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.57 | 11.9% | 13.0% | 1.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.55 | 19.8% | 19.5% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 1.32 | 68.3% | 67.4% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Sheriff Tiraspol
Probability
67.4%
Model confidence
67.4%
Sheriff Tiraspol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80