GGOALVIO

Moldova · Super Liga · 8/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dacia-Buiucani · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Dacia-Buiucani 0-0 Milsami Orhei

Original prediction

Dacia-Buiucani

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 3.50+
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home4.1721.7%45.7%24.0 pts
Draw3.4626.2%24.5%-1.7 pts
Away1.7452.0%29.8%-22.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.46 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

24.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–012%
  3. 3.2–010%

Predicted outcome

Dacia-Buiucani

Probability

45.7%

Model confidence

45.7%

Dacia-Buiucani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dacia-BuiucaniDWLLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Milsami OrheiWLDDD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Dacia-BuiucaniMilsami Orhei
44.4Attack29.6
48.1Defence48.1
48.1Form37.0
47.5Power40.7
1.58xG0.91
View match centre →