GGOALVIO

Moldova · Super Liga · 9/16/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dacia-Buiucani · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dacia-Buiucani are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Milsami Orhei are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dacia-Buiucani hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (43.1 v 38.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the Super Liga, while Dacia-Buiucani holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dacia-Buiucani

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

44.0%

Dacia-Buiucani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dacia-BuiucaniWLLLL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Milsami OrheiWLWWL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Dacia-BuiucaniMilsami Orhei
47.6Attack23.8
38.1Defence52.4
42.9Form33.3
43.1Power38.7
1.61xG1.17
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