GGOALVIO

Moldova · Super Liga · 9/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dacia-Buiucani · BTTS No · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Dacia-Buiucani 3-0 CSF Bălți

Original prediction

Dacia-Buiucani

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.1975.0%65.9%-9.1 pts
Draw5.1817.2%19.8%2.6 pts
Away11.457.8%14.3%6.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-9.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–013%
  2. 2.3–011%
  3. 3.1–010%

Predicted outcome

Dacia-Buiucani

Probability

65.9%

Model confidence

65.9%

Dacia-Buiucani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dacia-BuiucaniLDDWL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CSF BălțiLLLLD

GF 2 · GA 17 · avg 0.40/3.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Dacia-BuiucaniCSF Bălți
39.4Attack27.3
51.5Defence3.0
42.4Form15.2
45.3Power18.9
2.42xG0.73
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