Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sonthofen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Dachau are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sonthofen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sonthofen hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (42.3 v 49.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Sonthofen holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sonthofen
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Sonthofen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00