GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 3/16/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dachau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dachau are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Rain / Lech are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rain / Lech hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (42.3 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Dachau holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dachau

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

Dachau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DachauLWLLW

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Rain / LechWWWLW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
DachauRain / Lech
52.0Attack42.2
32.4Defence47.1
40.2Form43.1
42.3Power46.1
1.77xG1.60
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