Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dachau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Dachau are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Kottern are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dachau hold an 11.9-point power-rating edge (42.3 v 30.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Dachau holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dachau
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Dachau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60