GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 4/27/2024, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heimstetten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dachau are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Heimstetten are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Heimstetten hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (42.3 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Heimstetten holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heimstetten

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

44.2%

Heimstetten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DachauDWLLL

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
HeimstettenWWWWW

GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
DachauHeimstetten
52.0Attack53.3
32.4Defence53.3
40.2Form46.7
42.3Power53.0
1.61xG2.01
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