Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Újpest II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Dabas are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Újpest II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Újpest II hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (55.1 v 60.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the NB III - Southeast, while Újpest II holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Újpest II
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
9.3%
Újpest II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00