Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dabas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dabas 4-5 BKV Előre
Original prediction
Dabas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 60.4% | 55.6% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.00 | 22.3% | 22.9% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 5.15 | 17.3% | 21.5% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Dabas
Probability
55.6%
Model confidence
55.6%
Dabas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DabasDWLLL
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BKV ElőreDLLWL
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
DabasBKV Előre
43.3Attack23.3
20.0Defence0.0
43.3Form13.3
38.0Power16.2
2.61xG1.20