Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nam Dinh · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Da Nang 3-0 Nam Dinh
Original prediction
Nam Dinh
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.47 | 20.4% | 28.4% | 8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.6% | 26.5% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 1.63 | 56.1% | 45.1% | -10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Nam Dinh
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Nam Dinh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Da NangLWDWD
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Nam DinhWDWLL
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Da NangNam Dinh
66.7Attack100.0
0.0Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power97.0
1.23xG1.64