Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Da Nang · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Da Nang 1-5 Hai Phong
Original prediction
Da Nang
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.98 | 45.6% | 43.1% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.7% | 26.1% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.38 | 26.7% | 30.7% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Da Nang
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Da Nang has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Da NangLDWLW
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Hai PhongLLWLD
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Da NangHai Phong
55.6Attack55.6
33.3Defence22.2
33.3Form33.3
40.6Power38.7
1.78xG1.42