D. Puerto Monttvs
Union San Felipe
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 10/24/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
D. Puerto Montt · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: D. Puerto Montt 1-0 Union San Felipe, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
D. Puerto Montt 3-1 Union San Felipe
Original prediction
D. Puerto Montt
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 47.8% | 46.9% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.8% | 29.4% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.73 | 24.4% | 23.7% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Projected Score
D. Puerto Montt 1–0 Union San Felipe
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
D. Puerto Montt
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
D. Puerto Montt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 6 · avg 0.00/1.20
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60