GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 3/28/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santiago Wanderers · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

D. Puerto Montt are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Santiago Wanderers are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Santiago Wanderers hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 62.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the Primera B, while Santiago Wanderers holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santiago Wanderers

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

38.2%

Santiago Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

D. Puerto MonttLWWWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Santiago WanderersDDWDL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
D. Puerto MonttSantiago Wanderers
38.9Attack61.4
66.7Defence64.9
55.6Form59.6
55.6Power62.5
0.86xG1.14
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