D. Puerto Monttvs
San Luis
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 10/12/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Luis · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: D. Puerto Montt 0-1 San Luis, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
D. Puerto Montt 0-1 San Luis
Original prediction
San Luis
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.85 | 23.6% | 27.5% | 3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.8% | 29.5% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 1.80 | 50.6% | 43.0% | -7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.6 pts
Projected Score
D. Puerto Montt 0–1 San Luis
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
San Luis
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
San Luis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
D. Puerto MonttLLLLW
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
San LuisWWWWW
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
D. Puerto MonttSan Luis
33.3Attack52.6
56.4Defence62.8
43.6Form60.3
46.4Power60.0
0.76xG1.30