GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 3/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

D. Puerto Montt · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

D. Puerto Montt are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Recoleta are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and D. Puerto Montt hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Primera B, while D. Puerto Montt holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

D. Puerto Montt

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

43.2%

D. Puerto Montt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

D. Puerto MonttWWLDW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
RecoletaWWWLL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
D. Puerto MonttRecoleta
38.9Attack46.3
66.7Defence50.0
55.6Form42.6
55.6Power47.9
1.28xG0.82
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