D. Puerto MonttvsReal San Joaquín

D. Puerto Montt are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Real San Joaquín are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and D. Puerto Montt hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (55.1 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the Segunda División, while D. Puerto Montt holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.