D. Puerto MonttvsProvincial Ovalle

D. Puerto Montt are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Provincial Ovalle are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 2.67 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and D. Puerto Montt hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (55.1 v 29.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.9% in the Segunda División, while D. Puerto Montt holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.