GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 3/15/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

D. Puerto Montt · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

D. Puerto Montt are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Deportes Santa Cruz are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and D. Puerto Montt hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 39.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the Primera B, while D. Puerto Montt holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

D. Puerto Montt

Probability

56.1%

Model confidence

14.7%

D. Puerto Montt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

D. Puerto MonttWWWLD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Deportes Santa CruzLDDWW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
D. Puerto MonttDeportes Santa Cruz
38.9Attack42.1
66.7Defence40.4
55.6Form28.1
55.6Power39.6
1.57xG0.73
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