D. Puerto Monttvs
Curico Unido
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 9/5/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
D. Puerto Montt · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: D. Puerto Montt 1-0 Curico Unido, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
D. Puerto Montt 2-0 Curico Unido
Original prediction
D. Puerto Montt
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.7% | 53.8% | 12.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.3% | 27.0% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.12 | 29.0% | 19.1% | -9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.2 pts
Projected Score
D. Puerto Montt 1–0 Curico Unido
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
D. Puerto Montt
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
D. Puerto Montt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20