Primera BPrimera B
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 12:39
D. Puerto Montt

D. Puerto Montt

Home
LW
32
Full time
Antofagasta

Antofagasta

Away
W
Estadio Regional de Chinquihue
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Antofagasta(32%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Win probability
D. Puerto Montt
40%
Draw
28%
Antofagasta
32%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
D. Puerto Montt
34
Antofagasta
99
Defence
D. Puerto Montt
46
Antofagasta
27
Momentum
D. Puerto Montt
50
Antofagasta
100
Danger (xG)
D. Puerto Montt
0.90
Antofagasta
3.60
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (D. Puerto Montt)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Antofagasta)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (D. Puerto Montt)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Antofagasta)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
D. Puerto MonttD. Puerto Montt
LWWW
AntofagastaAntofagasta
WW

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
D. Puerto Montt40%
Draw28%
Antofagasta32%

D. Puerto Montt leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

D. Puerto Montt head into this in Primera B fixture at Estadio Regional de Chinquihue in mixed form (LW), while Antofagasta arrive in mixed form (W). D. Puerto Montt have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for Antofagasta over 1 games.

The model rates D. Puerto Montt's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Antofagasta defence, and Antofagasta's attack at 99/100 against a 46/100 D. Puerto Montt backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

D. Puerto Montt have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game at home. Antofagasta have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 4.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between D. Puerto Montt and Antofagasta in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Antofagasta to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: D. Puerto Montt 3990%, Draw 2822%, Antofagasta 3188%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

D. Puerto Montt

D. Puerto Montt

L
@ Concepción
12 Jul 2026
02
W
vs Huachipato
5 Jul 2026
21
W
vs Concepción
29 Jun 2026
20
W
@ Huachipato
21 Jun 2026
20
Antofagasta

Antofagasta

W
@ D. La Serena
5 Jul 2026
42
W
vs D. La Serena
21 Jun 2026
42

Frequently asked questions

Who will win D. Puerto Montt vs Antofagasta?

GoalVio's model predicts Antofagasta to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for D. Puerto Montt vs Antofagasta?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in D. Puerto Montt vs Antofagasta?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in D. Puerto Montt vs Antofagasta?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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