GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 3/10/2024, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

D. Melipilla · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

D. Melipilla are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Concón National are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 1.33 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and D. Melipilla hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (71.0 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.0% in the Segunda División, while D. Melipilla holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

D. Melipilla

Probability

50.0%

Model confidence

50.0%

D. Melipilla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

D. MelipillaWD

GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
Concón NationalLDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 1.33/2.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
D. MelipillaConcón National
72.8Attack41.0
69.1Defence71.8
71.6Form53.8
71.0Power57.3
1.38xG0.67
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