D. La SerenavsUniversidad de Concepcion

D. La Serena are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Universidad de Concepcion are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and D. La Serena hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 37.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the Primera División, while D. La Serena holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.