D. La Serenavs
Universidad de Chile
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 9/13/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universidad de Chile · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
D. La Serena 0-3 Universidad de Chile
Original prediction
Universidad de Chile
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.84 | 24.0% | 25.5% | 1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.5% | 26.1% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 1.83 | 50.4% | 48.4% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Universidad de Chile
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Universidad de Chile has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60