GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 2/14/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Coquimbo Unido · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

D. La Serena are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Coquimbo Unido are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Coquimbo Unido hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 53.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Primera División, while Coquimbo Unido holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Coquimbo Unido

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

Coquimbo Unido has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

D. La SerenaLDLLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Coquimbo UnidoWLDWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
D. La SerenaCoquimbo Unido
49.1Attack47.1
45.6Defence58.8
40.4Form49.0
46.2Power53.3
1.27xG1.43
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