Copa ChileCopa Chile
Wednesday, 24 June 2026Last updated 10:07
D. La Serena

D. La Serena

Home
LW
00
Full time
Cobresal

Cobresal

Away
DL
Estadio La Portada
GoalVio prediction
47% confidence
D. La Serena(47%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
D. La Serena
47%
Draw
24%
Cobresal
29%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
D. La Serena
54
Cobresal
34
Defence
D. La Serena
27
Cobresal
46
Momentum
D. La Serena
50
Cobresal
17
Danger (xG)
D. La Serena
1.35
Cobresal
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (D. La Serena)
1.35
avg per match
xG for (Cobresal)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (D. La Serena)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Cobresal)
1.35
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
D. La SerenaD. La Serena
LWDLD
CobresalCobresal
DLDL

Probability breakdown

47% confidence
D. La Serena47%
Draw24%
Cobresal29%

D. La Serena leads with 47% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

D. La Serena head into this in Copa Chile fixture at Estadio La Portada in mixed form (LW), while Cobresal arrive in mixed form (DL). D. La Serena have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Cobresal over 2 games.

The model rates D. La Serena's attack at 54/100 against a 46/100 Cobresal defence, and Cobresal's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 D. La Serena backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

D. La Serena have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Cobresal have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

D. La Serena have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

D. La Serena have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 2 encounters, with 1 draw, averaging 0.5 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects D. La Serena to win with 47% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: D. La Serena 4685%, Draw 2408%, Cobresal 2908%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

D. La Serena 1Draws 10 Cobresal
Avg goals: 0.5
1 Jul 2026
D. La Serena
W10
Cobresal
24 Jun 2026
D. La Serena
D00
Cobresal

Recent form

D. La Serena

D. La Serena

L
vs Antofagasta
5 Jul 2026
24
W
@ Cobresal
1 Jul 2026
10
D
vs Cobresal
24 Jun 2026
00
L
@ Antofagasta
21 Jun 2026
24
D
@ A. Italiano
13 Jun 2026
11
xG 0.0
Cobresal

Cobresal

D
vs Cobreloa
5 Jul 2026
22
L
vs D. La Serena
1 Jul 2026
01
D
@ D. La Serena
24 Jun 2026
00
L
@ Cobreloa
20 Jun 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win D. La Serena vs Cobresal?

GoalVio's model predicts D. La Serena to win with 47% confidence.

What is the predicted score for D. La Serena vs Cobresal?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in D. La Serena vs Cobresal?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in D. La Serena vs Cobresal?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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