Czechia U21vs
Bulgaria U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 9/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Czechia U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Czechia U21 1-0 Bulgaria U21, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Czechia U21 1-0 Bulgaria U21
Original prediction
Czechia U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 64.3% | 56.5% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.03 | 22.6% | 25.3% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 6.99 | 13.1% | 18.2% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.8 pts
Projected Score
Czechia U21 1–0 Bulgaria U21
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Czechia U21
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
56.5%
Czechia U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40