Ekstraliga WomenEkstraliga Women
Friday, 31 July 202616:00Updated today
Czarni Sosnowiec W

Czarni Sosnowiec W

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UKS Łódź W

UKS Łódź W

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GoalVio prediction
46% confidence
Czarni Sosnowiec W(46%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Czarni Sosnowiec W
46%
Draw
26%
UKS Łódź W
28%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 2.56 xG for Czarni Sosnowiec W and 1.71 xG for UKS Łódź W — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 2-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Czarni Sosnowiec W holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.Both sides have shown consistent scoring form recently — Czarni Sosnowiec W finding the net in 9 of 10 matches and UKS Łódź W in 9 of 10. That scoring reliability aligns with the xG projection and strengthens the BTTS case.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 4.27 — high attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 2-1 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating high xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.

Probability breakdown

46% confidence
Czarni Sosnowiec W46%
Draw26%
UKS Łódź W28%

Czarni Sosnowiec W leads with 46% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Czarni Sosnowiec W Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0

Czarni Sosnowiec W host UKS Łódź W in Ekstraliga Women. Czarni Sosnowiec W have recorded DWWWWW in recent matches while UKS Łódź W arrive with a run of WWWDLL.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 2.56 expected goals for Czarni Sosnowiec W against 1.71 for UKS Łódź W — a significant advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: 📈 Recent Form Czarni Sosnowiec W arrive in better recent form — 5 wins from 10 matches (DWWWWW) against UKS Łódź W's 3. Form over the last 5–6 games is one of the most predictive short-term signals in the model, capturing momentum that longer-term averages can miss.
: ⚽ Attacking Efficiency Czarni Sosnowiec W have averaged 3.69 goals per game recently while UKS Łódź W have managed 1.77. Czarni Sosnowiec W carry the sharper attacking edge — a factor the model weighs in its Czarni Sosnowiec W win projection.

Why GoalVio backs this

Czarni Sosnowiec W are generating a commanding xG advantage — 2.56 projected against 1.71 for UKS Łódź W. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 0.85 is the clearest signal in the model that Czarni Sosnowiec W are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: The model's projection is based on averages — individual moments of quality, tactical adjustments, or set-piece situations can always override statistical trends. Czarni Sosnowiec W are favoured, but football rarely follows the script exactly.

Risk factors

  • UKS Łódź W are in decent form with 3 wins from their last 10 matches — an upset cannot be ruled out.
  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Czarni Sosnowiec W vs UKS Łódź W?

GoalVio's model predicts Czarni Sosnowiec W to win with 46% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Czarni Sosnowiec W vs UKS Łódź W?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Czarni Sosnowiec W vs UKS Łódź W?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Czarni Sosnowiec W vs UKS Łódź W?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more