GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 4 · 8/3/2024, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Czarni Połaniec · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Czarni Połaniec are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Siarka Tarnobrzeg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Czarni Połaniec hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the III Liga - Group 4, while Czarni Połaniec holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Czarni Połaniec

Probability

39.0%

Model confidence

39.0%

Czarni Połaniec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Czarni PołaniecWLDWD

GF 14 · GA 13 · avg 2.80/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Siarka TarnobrzegDWWLW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Czarni PołaniecSiarka Tarnobrzeg
44.4Attack55.6
66.7Defence66.7
66.7Form44.4
61.0Power54.9
1.51xG1.30
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