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Tuesday, 21 July 202613:00Updated today
Czarni Połaniec

Czarni Połaniec

Home
L
vs
13:00
Maccabi Bnei Raina

Maccabi Bnei Raina

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Maccabi Bnei Raina33%
Czarni Połaniec33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Czarni Połaniec
33%
Draw
33%
Maccabi Bnei Raina
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Czarni Połaniec
34
Maccabi Bnei Raina
9
Defence
Czarni Połaniec
1
Maccabi Bnei Raina
66
Momentum
Czarni Połaniec
0
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0
Danger (xG)
Czarni Połaniec
0.90
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.44 xG for Czarni Połaniec and 1.26 xG for Maccabi Bnei Raina — meaningful and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.18), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.70 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Czarni Połaniec's Defensive Stability (1) and Maccabi Bnei Raina's (66) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Czarni Połaniec)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Maccabi Bnei Raina)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Czarni Połaniec)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Maccabi Bnei Raina)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Czarni PołaniecCzarni Połaniec
LWL
Maccabi Bnei RainaMaccabi Bnei Raina
L

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Czarni Połaniec33%
Draw33%
Maccabi Bnei Raina33%

Maccabi Bnei Raina leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Czarni Połaniec vs Maccabi Bnei Raina: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Czarni Połaniec take on Maccabi Bnei Raina in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

Neither side carries a decisive edge in the metrics that most reliably separate teams at this level — xG creation, defensive solidity, and recent form are all closely matched. When the underlying football inputs are this evenly distributed, a draw is the most defensible projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Czarni Połaniec

Czarni Połaniec

L
vs Jarosław
15 Jul 2026
14
W
vs Star Starachowice
16 May 2026
21
L
@ Sokół Kolb.
13 May 2026
12
Maccabi Bnei Raina

Maccabi Bnei Raina

L
@ Ironi Tiberias
13 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Czarni Połaniec vs Maccabi Bnei Raina?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Czarni Połaniec vs Maccabi Bnei Raina?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Czarni Połaniec vs Maccabi Bnei Raina?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Czarni Połaniec vs Maccabi Bnei Raina?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more