Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Wednesday, 15 July 2026Last updated 10:12
Czarni Połaniec

Czarni Połaniec

Home
L
14
Full time
Jarosław

Jarosław

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Czarni Połaniec40%
Draw35%
Jarosław25%
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Jarosław
Win probability
Czarni Połaniec
40%
Draw
35%
Jarosław
25%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Czarni Połaniec
34
Jarosław
99
Defence
Czarni Połaniec
1
Jarosław
66
Momentum
Czarni Połaniec
0
Jarosław
100
Danger (xG)
Czarni Połaniec
0.90
Jarosław
3.60
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Czarni Połaniec)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Jarosław)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Czarni Połaniec)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Jarosław)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Czarni PołaniecCzarni Połaniec
LWL
JarosławJarosław
W

Probability breakdown

42% confidence
Czarni Połaniec40%
Draw35%
Jarosław25%

Czarni Połaniec leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

Czarni Połaniec head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (L), while Jarosław arrive in mixed form (W). Czarni Połaniec have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Jarosław over 1 games.

Tactically, Jarosław hold the edge. Their elite attack (99/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Czarni Połaniec defence (1/100), while Czarni Połaniec's attack faces a solid Jarosław backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Czarni Połaniec have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game at home. Jarosław have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 4.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Jarosław have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 5.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Czarni Połaniec to win with 42% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Czarni Połaniec 4036%, Draw 3500%, Jarosław 2464%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Czarni Połaniec 0Draws 01 Jarosław
Avg goals: 5.0BTTS in 1/1
15 Jul 2026
Czarni Połaniec
L14
Jarosław

Recent form

Czarni Połaniec

Czarni Połaniec

L
vs Jarosław
15 Jul 2026
14
W
vs Star Starachowice
16 May 2026
21
L
@ Sokół Kolb.
13 May 2026
12
Jarosław

Jarosław

W
@ Czarni Połaniec
15 Jul 2026
41

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Czarni Połaniec vs Jarosław?

GoalVio's model predicts Czarni Połaniec to win with 42% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Czarni Połaniec vs Jarosław?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Czarni Połaniec vs Jarosław?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Czarni Połaniec vs Jarosław?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more