Cyprus U21vs
Romania U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 9/25/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Romania U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cyprus U21 0-3 Romania U21
Original prediction
Romania U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 16:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.08 | 12.9% | 14.2% | 1.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.04 | 22.6% | 18.2% | -4.3 pts |
| Away | 1.41 | 64.6% | 67.6% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–29%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Romania U21
Probability
67.6%
Model confidence
67.6%
Romania U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80