Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cusco · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Cusco are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while UTC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Cusco hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the Primera División, while Cusco holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cusco
Probability
56.2%
Model confidence
12.1%
Cusco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40