GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 2/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Universitario · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Cusco are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Universitario are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Universitario hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 58.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the Primera División, while Universitario holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Universitario

Probability

39.0%

Model confidence

14.7%

Universitario has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CuscoLDWLW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
UniversitarioWWWLL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CuscoUniversitario
50.0Attack46.0
53.0Defence68.3
54.5Form57.1
53.1Power58.7
1.00xG1.20
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