Cuscovs
UCV Moquegua
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 9/5/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cusco · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cusco 2-0 UCV Moquegua
Original prediction
Cusco
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 71.9% | 59.1% | -12.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.02 | 18.4% | 22.9% | 4.5 pts |
| Away | 9.51 | 9.7% | 18.0% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Cusco
Probability
59.1%
Model confidence
59.1%
Cusco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CuscoWLWLW
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
UCV MoqueguaLLWDL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
CuscoUCV Moquegua
50.0Attack31.9
50.0Defence54.2
54.2Form34.7
52.2Power42.3
1.52xG0.84