Cuscovs
Sporting Cristal
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 10/24/2026, 8:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cusco · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cusco 3-1 Sporting Cristal
Original prediction
Cusco
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 47.8% | 37.9% | -10.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 26.0% | 25.0% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.56 | 26.1% | 37.1% | 11.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Cusco
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Cusco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CuscoLLWLW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sporting CristalWWWWW
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CuscoSporting Cristal
48.3Attack59.8
51.7Defence54.0
51.7Form50.6
51.5Power55.3
1.42xG1.59