Cuscovs
FBC Melgar
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 9/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FBC Melgar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cusco 0-1 FBC Melgar
Original prediction
FBC Melgar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 42.4% | 34.0% | -8.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 28.0% | 26.1% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.12 | 29.6% | 40.0% | 10.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
FBC Melgar
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
FBC Melgar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20