Cuscovs
Deportivo Garcilaso
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 3/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Cusco are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Deportivo Garcilaso are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Garcilaso hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 57.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40