GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 3/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cusco are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Deportivo Garcilaso are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Garcilaso hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 57.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CuscoLWLDL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo GarcilasoLLLWD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
CuscoDeportivo Garcilaso
50.0Attack41.3
53.0Defence68.3
54.5Form55.6
53.1Power57.0
1.01xG1.07
View match centre →