Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cienciano · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Cusco are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cienciano are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cienciano hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 58.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.3% in the Primera División, while Cienciano holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cienciano
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Cienciano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40