Curzon Ashtonvs
Redcar Athletic
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Northern · 10/6/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Redcar Athletic · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Curzon Ashton 3-1 Redcar Athletic
Original prediction
Redcar Athletic
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 22 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 35.1% | 31.8% | -3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.3% | 26.9% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 38.6% | 41.3% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Redcar Athletic
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Redcar Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20