Curzon Ashtonvs
Ashton United
SCHEDULEDEngland · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Curzon Ashton are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Ashton United are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ashton United hold a 8.3-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Non League Premier - Northern, favouring a draw with 13.7% confidence, a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
28.7%
Model confidence
13.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40