Curico Unidovs
Union Espanola
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 9/8/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Espanola · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Curico Unido 2-1 Union Espanola
Original prediction
Union Espanola
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.81 | 32.3% | 26.8% | -5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.8% | 26.3% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 38.9% | 47.0% | 8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Union Espanola
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Union Espanola has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20