Curico Unidovs
Recoleta
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 8/30/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Recoleta · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Curico Unido 0-0 Recoleta
Original prediction
Recoleta
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 40.9% | 32.6% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.6% | 26.1% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.87 | 31.5% | 41.3% | 9.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.28 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Recoleta
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Recoleta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Curico UnidoWLLDW
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
RecoletaLWDWD
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Curico UnidoRecoleta
33.3Attack45.6
48.1Defence50.9
35.2Form42.1
41.7Power47.9
1.03xG1.32