GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 8/30/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Recoleta · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Curico Unido are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Recoleta are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Recoleta hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (41.7 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Primera B, while Recoleta holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Recoleta

Probability

41.8%

Model confidence

14.2%

Recoleta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Curico UnidoLDWDL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
RecoletaWDLLD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Curico UnidoRecoleta
33.3Attack46.3
48.1Defence50.0
35.2Form42.6
41.7Power47.9
1.05xG1.34
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