Curico Unidovs
Cerro Porteno
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 2/22/2023, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Curico Unido are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Cerro Porteno are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cerro Porteno hold a 38.0-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 64.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00