Curico Unidovs
A. Italiano
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 2/4/2023, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
A. Italiano · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Curico Unido are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (LWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.75 conceded, while A. Italiano are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and A. Italiano hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (34.5 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Primera División, while A. Italiano holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
A. Italiano
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
A. Italiano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.75
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.50